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FTMatchday 27

Parma vs Cagliari: Prediction

📍 Stadio Ennio Tardini

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

2 goals
ParmaCagliari
  1. 21'Juan Rodríguezyellow card
  2. 40'Alberto Dossenayellow card
  3. Christian Ordoñezon46'
  4. Enrico Del Pratoon46'
  5. Mateo Pellegrinoyellow card56'
  6. 61'Semih Kılıçsoyon
  7. 62'Michael Folorunshoassist Sebastiano Esposito
  8. Lautaro Valentiyellow card63'
  9. 65'Ibrahim Sulemanayellow card
  10. Mandela Keitaon75'
  11. Gaetano Oristanio83'
  12. 87'Sebastiano Espositoon
  13. 87'Ibrahim Sulemanaon
  14. Adrián Bernabéon89'
  15. 90'Adam Obertyellow card
  16. Emanuele Valerion90'

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Match stats

ParmaCagliari
  • 56%Possession44%
  • 1.31Expected goals (xG)0.52
  • 18Shots11
  • 4Shots on target5
  • 6Corners3
  • 14Fouls8
  • 2Yellow cards4
  • 0Red cards0
  • 0Offsides2
  • 4Saves3
  • 494Passes397

Line-ups

Parma

  • 5Lautaro Valenti
  • 7Gabriel Espeto
  • 15Enrico Del Prato
  • 14Emanuele Valeri
  • 16Mandela Keita
  • 24Christian Ordoñez
  • 10Adrián Bernabé
  • 40Edoardo Corvi
  • 9Mateo Pellegrino
  • 37Mariano Troilo
  • 27Sascha Britschgi

Cagliari

  • 94Sebastiano Esposito
  • 33Adam Obert
  • 8Ndary Adopo
  • 25Ibrahim Sulemana
  • 1Elia Caprile
  • 22Alberto Dossena
  • 32Zé Pedro
  • 9Semih Kılıçsoy
  • 15Juan Rodríguez
  • 2Marco Palestra
  • 27Joseph Liteta

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1454 – 1467

Recent form

ParmaLLWWW
CagliariWWLLD
#TeamPGDPts
1Cagliari35-1043
2Parma35-1743

Head to head

  • Parma 0–1 Cagliari2026-08-22
  • Cagliari 2–0 Parma2025-09-13

Match preview

Parma host Cagliari in the Serie A on 27 February 2026. Parma sit 13th on 43 points and Cagliari are 12th on 43. Parma have won 3 of their last 5 (LLWWW), while Cagliari have won 2 of 5 (WWLLD). In their last 2 meetings, Parma won 0, Cagliari won 2 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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