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FTMatchday 10

Parma vs Bologna: Prediction

📍 Stadio Ennio Tardini

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

4 goals
ParmaBologna
  1. Adrián Bernabéassist Adrian Benedyczak1'
  2. 17'Santiago Castroassist Emil Holm
  3. Nahuell Estévezon24'
  4. Christian Ordoñezyellow card28'
  5. Christian Ordoñezyellow card35'
  6. Christian Ordoñezred card35'
  7. Alessandro Circation40'
  8. 56'Remo Freuleron
  9. 61'Santiago Castroyellow card
  10. 68'Santiago Castro
  11. 72'Jens Odgaardon
  12. 72'Santiago Castroon
  13. Sascha Britschgion78'
  14. Mateo Pellegrinoon78'
  15. Lautaro Valentiyellow card79'
  16. Adrian Benedyczakon79'
  17. 82'Riccardo Orsolinion
  18. 82'Jonathan Roweon
  19. 87'Nicolò Cambiaghiyellow card
  20. 90'Juan Mirandaassist Nicolò Cambiaghi

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Match stats

ParmaBologna
  • 35%Possession65%
  • 1Expected goals (xG)3
  • 7Shots22
  • 1Shots on target6
  • 1Corners5
  • 16Fouls15
  • 3Yellow cards2
  • 1Red cards0
  • 1Offsides6
  • 3Saves0
  • 235Passes424

Line-ups

Parma

  • 8Nahuell Estévez
  • 5Lautaro Valenti
  • 15Enrico Del Prato
  • 31Zion Suzuki
  • 16Mandela Keita
  • 24Christian Ordoñez
  • 7Adrian Benedyczak
  • 10Adrián Bernabé
  • 39Alessandro Circati
  • 9Mateo Pellegrino
  • 27Sascha Britschgi

Bologna

  • 1Lukasz Skorupski
  • 8Remo Freuler
  • 33Juan Miranda
  • 7Riccardo Orsolini
  • 4Tommaso Pobega
  • 26Jhon Lucumí
  • 2Emil Holm
  • 11Jonathan Rowe
  • 21Jens Odgaard
  • 14Torbjørn Heggem
  • 9Santiago Castro

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1454 – 1534

Recent form

ParmaWLDDL
BolognaDWWDD
#TeamPGDPts
1Bologna35+453
2Parma35-1743

Head to head

  • Bologna 0–1 Parma2026-02-08

Match preview

Parma host Bologna in the Serie A on 2 November 2025. Parma sit 13th on 43 points and Bologna are 8th on 53. Parma have won 1 of their last 5 (WLDDL), while Bologna have won 2 of 5 (DWWDD). In their last 1 meetings, Parma won 1, Bologna won 0 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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