FTMatchday 11

Parma vs AC Milan: Prediction

📍 Stadio Ennio Tardini

Parma2

AC Milan2

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

4 goals

ParmaAC Milan

12'Alexis Saelemaekersassist Christopher Nkunku
25'Rafael Leãopenalty
Adrián Bernabéassist Sascha Britschgi45'
Abdoulaye Ndiayeon46'
60'Christopher Nkunkuon
Enrico Del Pratoassist Sascha Britschgi62'
Mathias Fjørtoft Løvikon68'
70'Luka Modricyellow card
70'Pervis Estupiñánon
70'Samuele Riccion
Adrián Bernabéon81'
Oliver Sørensenyellow card86'
87'Koni De Winteron
Patrick Cutroneon90'

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Match stats

ParmaAC Milan

43%Possession57%
2Expected goals (xG)2
14Shots9
4Shots on target5
4Corners3
14Fouls10
1Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
2Offsides3
3Saves3
414Passes554

Line-ups

Parma

32Patrick Cutrone
5Lautaro Valenti
15Enrico Del Prato
31Zion Suzuki
22Oliver Sørensen
16Mandela Keita
18Mathias Fjørtoft Løvik
10Adrián Bernabé
3Abdoulaye Ndiaye
9Mateo Pellegrino
27Sascha Britschgi

AC Milan

14Luka Modric
16Mike Maignan
18Christopher Nkunku
10Rafael Leão
46Matteo Gabbia
19Youssouf Fofana
56Alexis Saelemaekers
2Pervis Estupiñán
4Samuele Ricci
31Strahinja Pavlović
5Koni De Winter

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–

Expected goals (model)–

Team rating (Elo)1454 – 1571

Recent form

ParmaLDDLL

AC MilanDWDDW

#	Team	P	GD	Pts
1	AC Milan	35	+15	63
2	Parma	35	-17	43

Head to head

AC Milan 0–1 Parma2026-02-22

Match preview

Parma host AC Milan in the Serie A on 8 November 2025. Parma sit 13th on 43 points and AC Milan are 5th on 63. Parma have won 0 of their last 5 (LDDLL), while AC Milan have won 2 of 5 (DWDDW). In their last 1 meetings, Parma won 1, AC Milan won 0 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.