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FTMatchday 4

Paderborn vs Hoffenheim: Prediction

Paderborn3
FT
Hoffenheim1

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

2 goals
PaderbornHoffenheim
  1. Santiago Castañeda29'
  2. Stefano Marinoassist Laurin Curda42'
  3. 45'Wouter Burgeryellow card
  4. 45'Mats Rotson
  5. Marvin Pieringeron45'

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1497 – 1501

Recent form

PaderbornDL
HoffenheimDWLLL
#TeamPGDPts
1Paderborn709
2Hoffenheim7-36

Head to head

Not enough past results yet.

Match preview

Paderborn host Hoffenheim in the Bundesliga on 20 September 2026. Paderborn sit 10th on 9 points and Hoffenheim are 14th on 6. Paderborn have won 0 of their last 2 (DL), while Hoffenheim have won 1 of 5 (DWLLL). There is no recent head-to-head record between these sides in our data. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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