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FTMatchday 2

Paderborn vs Freiburg: Prediction

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

1 goal
PaderbornFreiburg
  1. 26'Maximilian Eggestein
  2. Laurin Curdayellow card38'
  3. 43'Yuito Suzukiyellow card
  4. Rayan Philippeon45'
  5. Jano ter Horstyellow card48'

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1497 – 1518

Recent form

PaderbornD
FreiburgLDLWW
#TeamPGDPts
1Freiburg7+313
2Paderborn709

Head to head

Not enough past results yet.

Match preview

Paderborn host Freiburg in the Bundesliga on 5 September 2026. Paderborn sit 10th on 9 points and Freiburg are 4th on 13. Paderborn have won 0 of their last 1 (D), while Freiburg have won 2 of 5 (LDLWW). There is no recent head-to-head record between these sides in our data. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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