Kick-off · Sun, 20 Dec, 09:30 pm ISTMatchday 17
Osasuna vs Villarreal: Prediction
Osasuna44%Away win
Villarreal30% Home win26% Draw44% Away win
Tipster consensus · who picked what
0 tracked tipstersNo tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.
Most likely score1-1
Expected goals (model)1.15 – 1.47
Team rating (Elo)1431 – 1544
Recent form
OsasunaLDLWLVillarrealLWDLW| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Villarreal | 9 | +1 | 11 |
| 2 | Osasuna | 9 | -11 | 8 |
Head to head
- Osasuna 2–2 Villarreal2026-01-31
- Villarreal 2–1 Osasuna2025-09-20
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
