Kick-off · Sun, 14 Mar, 09:30 pm ISTMatchday 28
Osasuna vs Celta Vigo: Prediction
Osasuna39%Away win
Celta Vigo35% Home win26% Draw39% Away win
Tipster consensus · who picked what
0 tracked tipstersNo tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.
Most likely score1-1
Expected goals (model)1.25 – 1.35
Team rating (Elo)1431 – 1507
Recent form
OsasunaLDLWLCelta VigoDWDWD| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Celta Vigo | 9 | +4 | 12 |
| 2 | Osasuna | 9 | -11 | 8 |
Head to head
- Celta Vigo 1–2 Osasuna2026-02-06
- Osasuna 2–3 Celta Vigo2025-10-26
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
