Kick-off · Sun, 23 May, 07:30 pm ISTMatchday 37
Newcastle United vs Crystal Palace: Prediction
Newcastle United54%Home win
Crystal Palace54% Home win23% Draw23% Away win
Tipster consensus · who picked what
0 tracked tipstersNo tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.
Most likely score1-1
Expected goals (model)1.80 – 1.09
Team rating (Elo)1529 – 1521
Recent form
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | -2 | 11 | |
| 2 | 8 | -10 | 7 |
Head to head
- Crystal Palace 0–2 Newcastle United2026-10-25
- Crystal Palace 2–1 Newcastle United2026-04-12
- Newcastle United 2–0 Crystal Palace2026-01-04
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.