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Kick-off · রবি ২৩ মে, ০৭:৩০ PM ISTMatchday 37

Newcastle United vs Crystal Palace: Prediction

Newcastle United
54%Home win
Crystal Palace
Most likely score1-1
Expected goals (model)1.81 – 1.08
Team rating (Elo)1490 – 1435

Recent form

Newcastle UnitedLWLLW
Crystal PalaceLDWLL
#TeamPGDPts
1Newcastle United8-211
2Crystal Palace8-107

Head to head

  • Crystal Palace 0–2 Newcastle United2026-10-25
  • Crystal Palace 2–1 Newcastle United2026-04-12
  • Newcastle United 2–0 Crystal Palace2026-01-04

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The read is frozen at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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