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FTMatchday 21

Napoli vs Sassuolo: Prediction

📍 Stadio Diego Armando Maradona

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

1 goal
NapoliSassuolo
  1. Stanislav Lobotka7'
  2. 53'Aster Vranckxyellow card
  3. 54'Aster Vranckxon
  4. Eljif Elmason56'
  5. Sam Beukemaon57'
  6. Antonio Vergaraon62'
  7. Amir Rrahmanion67'
  8. 81'Josh Doigon
  9. 81'Alieu Faderaon
  10. 84'Edoardo Iannoniyellow card
  11. 89'Andrea Pinamontion
  12. 89'Luca Lipanion

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Match stats

NapoliSassuolo
  • 53%Possession47%
  • 0.58Expected goals (xG)0.96
  • 11Shots21
  • 4Shots on target4
  • 5Corners4
  • 10Fouls11
  • 0Yellow cards2
  • 0Red cards0
  • 0Offsides2
  • 4Saves3
  • 497Passes435

Line-ups

Napoli

  • 5Juan Jesus
  • 68Stanislav Lobotka
  • 37Leonardo Spinazzola
  • 8Scott McTominay
  • 20Eljif Elmas
  • 22Giovanni Di Lorenzo
  • 13Amir Rrahmani
  • 32Vanja Milinković-Savić
  • 19Rasmus Højlund
  • 31Sam Beukema
  • 26Antonio Vergara

Sassuolo

  • 18Nemanja Matic
  • 6Sebastian Walukiewicz
  • 99Andrea Pinamonti
  • 45Armand Laurienté
  • 3Josh Doig
  • 40Aster Vranckx
  • 49Arijanet Murić
  • 21Jay Idzes
  • 20Alieu Fadera
  • 35Luca Lipani
  • 80Tarik Muharemović

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1465 – 1436

Recent form

NapoliWWDDD
SassuoloLDDLL
#TeamPGDPts
1Napoli35+2170
2Sassuolo35-248

Head to head

  • Sassuolo 0–2 Napoli2025-08-23

Match preview

Napoli host Sassuolo in the Serie A on 17 January 2026. Napoli sit 2nd on 70 points and Sassuolo are 9th on 48. Napoli have won 2 of their last 5 (WWDDD), while Sassuolo have won 0 of 5 (LDDLL). In their last 1 meetings, Napoli won 1, Sassuolo won 0 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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