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FTMatchday 25

Napoli vs Roma: Prediction

📍 Stadio Diego Armando Maradona

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

3 goals
NapoliRoma
  1. 7'Donyell Malenassist Bryan Zaragoza
  2. 26'Gianluca Manciniyellow card
  3. Leonardo Spinazzolaassist Eljif Elmas40'
  4. 46'Bryan Zaragozaon
  5. 65'Niccolò Pisillion
  6. 65'Lorenzo Pellegrinion
  7. Amir Rrahmaniyellow card68'
  8. Leonardo Spinazzolaon70'
  9. Amir Rrahmanion70'
  10. 71'Donyell Malenpenalty
  11. 72'Wesley Françaon
  12. 72'Donyell Malenon
  13. Eljif Elmason79'
  14. Antonio Vergaraon79'
  15. Matteo Politanoon84'

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Match stats

NapoliRoma
  • 61%Possession39%
  • 0.58Expected goals (xG)1.70
  • 11Shots9
  • 7Shots on target2
  • 2Corners1
  • 14Fouls14
  • 1Yellow cards1
  • 0Red cards0
  • 1Offsides2
  • 0Saves5
  • 590Passes358

Line-ups

Napoli

  • 21Matteo Politano
  • 68Stanislav Lobotka
  • 37Leonardo Spinazzola
  • 20Eljif Elmas
  • 13Amir Rrahmani
  • 32Vanja Milinković-Savić
  • 4Alessandro Buongiorno
  • 19Rasmus Højlund
  • 3Miguel Gutiérrez
  • 31Sam Beukema
  • 26Antonio Vergara

Roma

  • 4Bryan Cristante
  • 7Lorenzo Pellegrini
  • 23Gianluca Mancini
  • 99Mile Svilar
  • 14Donyell Malen
  • 19Zeki Çelik
  • 5Evan Ndicka
  • 97Bryan Zaragoza
  • 87Daniele Ghilardi
  • 61Niccolò Pisilli
  • 43Wesley França

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1465 – 1499

Recent form

NapoliDWLWW
RomaWWDLW
#TeamPGDPts
1Napoli35+2170
2Roma35+2767

Head to head

  • Napoli 3–3 Roma2026-10-24
  • Roma 0–1 Napoli2025-11-30

Match preview

Napoli host Roma in the Serie A on 15 February 2026. Napoli sit 2nd on 70 points and Roma are 4th on 67. Napoli have won 3 of their last 5 (DWLWW), while Roma have won 3 of 5 (WWDLW). In their last 2 meetings, Napoli won 1, Roma won 0 and 1 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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