Kick-off · Sun, 7 Mar, 11:00 pm ISTMatchday 27
Napoli vs Parma: Prediction
Napoli66%Home win
Parma66% Home win20% Draw14% Away win
Tipster consensus · who picked what
0 tracked tipstersNo tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.
Most likely score2-0
Expected goals (model)2.11 – 0.86
Team rating (Elo)1589 – 1429
Recent form
NapoliLLWDWParmaWLLLD| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Napoli | 8 | +7 | 14 |
| 2 | Parma | 8 | -8 | 5 |
Head to head
- Parma 1–1 Napoli2026-04-12
- Napoli 0–0 Parma2026-01-14
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
