Napoli vs Parma: Prediction
📍 Stadio Diego Armando Maradona
Not enough past results yet.
Match events
0 goals- 46'⇄Oliver Sørensenon
- 57'Mariano Troiloyellow card
- ⇄Noa Langon58'
- ⇄Mathías Oliveraon58'
- ⇄Pasquale Mazzocchion58'
- 58'⇄Patrick Cutroneon
- 59'⇄Jacob Ondrejkaon
- 67'Sascha Britschgiyellow card
- 69'⇄Mariano Troiloon
- ⇄Matteo Politanoon79'
- 81'Filippo Rinaldiyellow card
- David Neresyellow card87'
- ⇄David Nereson90'
- 90'⇄Christian Ordoñezon
Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.
Match stats
- 69%Possession31%
- 1.38Expected goals (xG)0.18
- 16Shots4
- 4Shots on target1
- 7Corners1
- 11Fouls12
- 1Yellow cards3
- 0Red cards0
- 1Offsides0
- 1Saves4
- 712Passes326
Line-ups
Napoli
- 21Matteo Politano
- 68Stanislav Lobotka
- 8Scott McTominay
- 22Giovanni Di Lorenzo
- 13Amir Rrahmani
- 17Mathías Olivera
- 70Noa Lang
- 32Vanja Milinković-Savić
- 4Alessandro Buongiorno
- 30Pasquale Mazzocchi
- 19Rasmus Højlund
Parma
- 32Patrick Cutrone
- 8Nahuell Estévez
- 5Lautaro Valenti
- 66Filippo Rinaldi
- 22Oliver Sørensen
- 16Mandela Keita
- 24Christian Ordoñez
- 17Jacob Ondrejka
- 39Alessandro Circati
- 37Mariano Troilo
- 27Sascha Britschgi
Tipster consensus
0 tracked tipstersNo tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.
Recent form
NapoliWWWDD
ParmaWWDLW| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Napoli | 35 | +21 | 70 |
| 2 | Parma | 35 | -17 | 43 |
Head to head
- Parma 1–1 Napoli2026-04-12
Match preview
Napoli host Parma in the Serie A on 14 January 2026. Napoli sit 2nd on 70 points and Parma are 13th on 43. Napoli have won 3 of their last 5 (WWWDD), while Parma have won 3 of 5 (WWDLW). In their last 1 meetings, Napoli won 0, Parma won 0 and 1 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
