Napoli vs Lecce: Prediction
📍 Stadio Diego Armando Maradona
Not enough past results yet.
Match events
3 goals- 3'⚽Jamil Siebertassist Antonino Gallo
- 19'Jamil Siebertyellow card
- ⇄Andre-Frank Zambo Anguissaon46'
- ⇄Eljif Elmason46'
- 46'⇄Lassana Coulibalyon
- ⚽Rasmus Højlundassist Matteo Politano46'
- 59'⇄Nikola Štulićon
- ⚽Matteo Politano67'
- ⇄Leonardo Spinazzolaon72'
- ⇄Matteo Politanoon72'
- 79'⇄Antonino Galloon
- 79'⇄Santiago Pierottion
- ⇄Alisson de Almeida Santoson85'
- 85'⇄Oumar Ngomon
Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.
Match stats
- 70%Possession30%
- 1.30Expected goals (xG)0.76
- 12Shots12
- 4Shots on target2
- 7Corners7
- 11Fouls7
- 0Yellow cards1
- 0Red cards0
- 0Offsides0
- 1Saves2
- 601Passes245
Line-ups
Napoli
- 21Matteo Politano
- 1Alex Meret
- 99Andre-Frank Zambo Anguissa
- 37Leonardo Spinazzola
- 20Eljif Elmas
- 6Billy Gilmour
- 17Mathías Olivera
- 4Alessandro Buongiorno
- 19Rasmus Højlund
- 31Sam Beukema
- 27Alisson de Almeida Santos
Lecce
- 30Wladimiro Falcone
- 29Lassana Coulibaly
- 20Ylber Ramadani
- 19Lameck Banda
- 25Antonino Gallo
- 17Danilo Veiga
- 50Santiago Pierotti
- 9Nikola Štulić
- 5Jamil Siebert
- 44Tiago Gabriel
- 79Oumar Ngom
Tipster consensus
0 tracked tipstersNo tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.
Recent form
NapoliWWDLW
LecceLWWLL| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Napoli | 35 | +21 | 70 |
| 2 | Lecce | 35 | -22 | 32 |
Head to head
- Lecce 0–1 Napoli2025-10-28
Match preview
Napoli host Lecce in the Serie A on 14 March 2026. Napoli sit 2nd on 70 points and Lecce are 17th on 32. Napoli have won 3 of their last 5 (WWDLW), while Lecce have won 2 of 5 (LWWLL). In their last 1 meetings, Napoli won 1, Lecce won 0 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
