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FTMatchday 33

Napoli vs Lazio: Prediction

📍 Stadio Diego Armando Maradona

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

3 goals
NapoliLazio
  1. 6'Matteo Cancellieriassist Kenneth Taylor
  2. Stanislav Lobotkayellow card29'
  3. 31'Mattia Zaccagnipenalty
  4. 33'Danilo Cataldiyellow card
  5. Kevin De Bruyneon46'
  6. Andre-Frank Zambo Anguissaon46'
  7. 57'Toma Bašićassist Matteo Cancellieri
  8. 60'Kenneth Tayloryellow card
  9. 61'Danilo Cataldion
  10. 61'Mattia Zaccagnion
  11. 61'Mario Gilaon
  12. Stanislav Lobotkaon63'
  13. Leonardo Spinazzolaon63'
  14. 71'Toma Bašićon
  15. Matteo Politanoon72'
  16. 82'Manuel Lazzarion
  17. 90'Boulaye Diayellow card

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Match stats

NapoliLazio
  • 67%Possession33%
  • 0.49Expected goals (xG)2.26
  • 11Shots14
  • 0Shots on target7
  • 11Corners0
  • 11Fouls9
  • 1Yellow cards3
  • 0Red cards0
  • 2Offsides0
  • 5Saves0
  • 631Passes326

Line-ups

Napoli

  • 21Matteo Politano
  • 11Kevin De Bruyne
  • 68Stanislav Lobotka
  • 99Andre-Frank Zambo Anguissa
  • 37Leonardo Spinazzola
  • 8Scott McTominay
  • 17Mathías Olivera
  • 32Vanja Milinković-Savić
  • 4Alessandro Buongiorno
  • 19Rasmus Højlund
  • 31Sam Beukema

Lazio

  • 13Alessio Romagnoli
  • 10Mattia Zaccagni
  • 29Manuel Lazzari
  • 32Danilo Cataldi
  • 26Toma Bašić
  • 17Nuno Tavares
  • 24Kenneth Taylor
  • 22Matteo Cancellieri
  • 14Tijjani Noslin
  • 34Mario Gila
  • 40Edoardo Motta

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1465 – 1593

Recent form

NapoliWWWWD
LazioLWWDL
#TeamPGDPts
1Napoli35+2170
2Lazio35-545

Head to head

  • Lazio 0–2 Napoli2026-01-04

Match preview

Napoli host Lazio in the Serie A on 18 April 2026. Napoli sit 2nd on 70 points and Lazio are 10th on 45. Napoli have won 4 of their last 5 (WWWWD), while Lazio have won 2 of 5 (LWWDL). In their last 1 meetings, Napoli won 1, Lazio won 0 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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