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FTMatchday 6

Napoli vs Genoa: Prediction

📍 Stadio Diego Armando Maradona

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

3 goals
NapoliGenoa
  1. 28'Alessandro Marcandalliyellow card
  2. 34'Jeff Ekhator Osayukiassist Brooke Norton-Cuffy
  3. 38'Ruslan Malinovskyiyellow card
  4. Stanislav Lobotkaon44'
  5. 46'Alessandro Marcandallion
  6. Mathías Oliveraon50'
  7. Matteo Politanoon50'
  8. David Neresyellow card55'
  9. Andre-Frank Zambo Anguissa57'
  10. 61'Jeff Ekhator Osayukion
  11. 61'Ruslan Malinovskyion
  12. 63'Sebastian Otoayellow card
  13. Rasmus Højlund75'
  14. 76'Stefano Sabellion
  15. 76'Vítor Oliveiraon
  16. Rasmus Højlundon82'
  17. David Nereson82'

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Match stats

NapoliGenoa
  • 69%Possession31%
  • 1Expected goals (xG)0
  • 11Shots6
  • 4Shots on target1
  • 4Corners5
  • 16Fouls12
  • 1Yellow cards3
  • 0Red cards0
  • 2Offsides2
  • 0Saves2
  • 531Passes229

Line-ups

Napoli

  • 5Juan Jesus
  • 21Matteo Politano
  • 68Stanislav Lobotka
  • 99Andre-Frank Zambo Anguissa
  • 7David Neres
  • 8Scott McTominay
  • 22Giovanni Di Lorenzo
  • 17Mathías Olivera
  • 32Vanja Milinković-Savić
  • 19Rasmus Højlund
  • 31Sam Beukema

Genoa

  • 17Ruslan Malinovskyi
  • 20Stefano Sabelli
  • 32Morten Wetche Frendrup
  • 1Nicola Leali
  • 22Johan Vasquez
  • 9Vítor Oliveira
  • 77Mikael Egill Ellertsson
  • 15Brooke Norton-Cuffy
  • 27Alessandro Marcandalli
  • 73Patrizio Masini
  • 21Jeff Ekhator Osayuki

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1465 – 1472

Recent form

NapoliWLWLW
GenoaDDLL
#TeamPGDPts
1Napoli35+2170
2Genoa35-938

Head to head

  • Genoa 0–2 Napoli2026-08-22
  • Genoa 2–3 Napoli2026-02-07

Match preview

Napoli host Genoa in the Serie A on 5 October 2025. Napoli sit 2nd on 70 points and Genoa are 16th on 38. Napoli have won 3 of their last 5 (WLWLW), while Genoa have won 0 of 4 (DDLL). In their last 2 meetings, Napoli won 2, Genoa won 0 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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