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FTMatchday 36

Napoli vs Bologna: Prediction

📍 Stadio Diego Armando Maradona

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

5 goals
NapoliBologna
  1. 10'Federico Bernardeschiassist Juan Miranda
  2. 34'Riccardo Orsolinipenalty
  3. 38'João Márioyellow card
  4. Giovanni Di Lorenzo45'
  5. 47'Federico Bernardeschiyellow card
  6. Alisson de Almeida Santosassist Rasmus Højlund48'
  7. 58'Eivind Hellandyellow card
  8. 64'João Márioon
  9. 69'Jhon Lucumíyellow card
  10. 73'Federico Bernardeschion
  11. Giovaneon76'
  12. Stanislav Lobotkaon76'
  13. 81'Tommaso Pobegaon
  14. 81'Lewis Fergusonon
  15. 82'Eivind Hellandon
  16. Matteo Politanoyellow card84'
  17. Matteo Politanoon85'
  18. Miguel Gutiérrezon87'
  19. 90'Jonathan Rowe

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Match stats

NapoliBologna
  • 52%Possession48%
  • 0.75Expected goals (xG)1.32
  • 14Shots10
  • 5Shots on target4
  • 7Corners1
  • 10Fouls12
  • 1Yellow cards4
  • 0Red cards0
  • 4Offsides0
  • 1Saves3
  • 484Passes458

Line-ups

Napoli

  • 21Matteo Politano
  • 68Stanislav Lobotka
  • 8Scott McTominay
  • 22Giovanni Di Lorenzo
  • 13Amir Rrahmani
  • 32Vanja Milinković-Savić
  • 4Alessandro Buongiorno
  • 19Rasmus Højlund
  • 3Miguel Gutiérrez
  • 23Giovane
  • 27Alisson de Almeida Santos

Bologna

  • 10Federico Bernardeschi
  • 8Remo Freuler
  • 19Lewis Ferguson
  • 33Juan Miranda
  • 7Riccardo Orsolini
  • 4Tommaso Pobega
  • 26Jhon Lucumí
  • 17João Mário
  • 9Santiago Castro
  • 5Eivind Helland
  • 25Massimo Pessina

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1465 – 1534

Recent form

NapoliWDLWD
BolognaWWLLD
#TeamPGDPts
1Napoli35+2170
2Bologna35+453

Head to head

  • Napoli 1–0 Bologna2026-09-13
  • Bologna 2–0 Napoli2025-11-09

Match preview

Napoli host Bologna in the Serie A on 11 May 2026. Napoli sit 2nd on 70 points and Bologna are 8th on 53. Napoli have won 2 of their last 5 (WDLWD), while Bologna have won 2 of 5 (WWLLD). In their last 2 meetings, Napoli won 1, Bologna won 1 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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