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FTMatchday 12

Napoli vs Atalanta: Prediction

📍 Stadio Diego Armando Maradona

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

4 goals
NapoliAtalanta
  1. David Neresassist Rasmus Højlund17'
  2. David Neresassist Scott McTominay38'
  3. Noa Langassist Giovanni Di Lorenzo45'
  4. 46'Honest Ahanoron
  5. 46'Mario Pasalicon
  6. 52'Gianluca Scamaccaassist Raoul Bellanova
  7. 59'Marten de Roonyellow card
  8. 62'Davide Zappacostayellow card
  9. 62'Davide Zappacostaon
  10. Amir Rrahmanion64'
  11. Noa Langon69'
  12. David Nereson69'
  13. Miguel Gutiérrezon69'
  14. Rasmus Højlundon74'
  15. Juan Jesusyellow card75'
  16. 77'Charles De Ketelaereon
  17. 82'Ademola Lookmanon

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Match stats

NapoliAtalanta
  • 45%Possession55%
  • 2Expected goals (xG)1
  • 11Shots14
  • 6Shots on target3
  • 5Corners3
  • 11Fouls12
  • 1Yellow cards2
  • 0Red cards0
  • 3Offsides1
  • 2Saves3
  • 436Passes533

Line-ups

Napoli

  • 68Stanislav Lobotka
  • 7David Neres
  • 8Scott McTominay
  • 22Giovanni Di Lorenzo
  • 13Amir Rrahmani
  • 70Noa Lang
  • 32Vanja Milinković-Savić
  • 4Alessandro Buongiorno
  • 19Rasmus Højlund
  • 3Miguel Gutiérrez
  • 31Sam Beukema

Atalanta

  • 8Mario Pasalic
  • 77Davide Zappacosta
  • 15Marten de Roon
  • 11Ademola Lookman
  • 19Berat Djimsiti
  • 16Raoul Bellanova
  • 17Charles De Ketelaere
  • 29Marco Carnesecchi
  • 4Isak Hien
  • 13Éderson
  • 69Honest Ahanor

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1465 – 1515

Recent form

NapoliWWDDL
AtalantaDDLWL
#TeamPGDPts
1Napoli35+2170
2Atalanta35+1454

Head to head

  • Atalanta 2–1 Napoli2026-02-22

Match preview

Napoli host Atalanta in the Serie A on 22 November 2025. Napoli sit 2nd on 70 points and Atalanta are 7th on 54. Napoli have won 2 of their last 5 (WWDDL), while Atalanta have won 1 of 5 (DDLWL). In their last 1 meetings, Napoli won 0, Atalanta won 1 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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