Skip
EnglishEN ▾
FTMatchday 31

Napoli vs AC Milan: Prediction

📍 Stadio Diego Armando Maradona

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

1 goal
NapoliAC Milan
  1. Alessandro Buongiornoyellow card12'
  2. 62'Alexis Saelemaekerson
  3. 63'Niclas Fullkrugon
  4. Giovaneon70'
  5. 74'Christopher Nkunkuon
  6. Leonardo Spinazzolaon74'
  7. Matteo Politano79'
  8. Matteo Politanoyellow card81'
  9. 82'Fikayo Tomorion
  10. 82'Youssouf Fofanaon
  11. Kevin De Bruyneon85'
  12. Juan Jesuson85'

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Match stats

NapoliAC Milan
  • 53%Possession47%
  • 0.75Expected goals (xG)0.47
  • 10Shots7
  • 3Shots on target1
  • 4Corners3
  • 7Fouls6
  • 2Yellow cards0
  • 0Red cards0
  • 5Offsides2
  • 1Saves2
  • 523Passes465

Line-ups

Napoli

  • 5Juan Jesus
  • 11Kevin De Bruyne
  • 68Stanislav Lobotka
  • 99Andre-Frank Zambo Anguissa
  • 37Leonardo Spinazzola
  • 8Scott McTominay
  • 17Mathías Olivera
  • 32Vanja Milinković-Savić
  • 4Alessandro Buongiorno
  • 3Miguel Gutiérrez
  • 23Giovane

AC Milan

  • 14Luka Modric
  • 16Mike Maignan
  • 12Adrien Rabiot
  • 9Niclas Fullkrug
  • 23Fikayo Tomori
  • 18Christopher Nkunku
  • 19Youssouf Fofana
  • 56Alexis Saelemaekers
  • 31Strahinja Pavlović
  • 5Koni De Winter
  • 33Davide Bartesaghi

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1465 – 1571

Recent form

NapoliDLWWW
AC MilanDLWLW
#TeamPGDPts
1Napoli35+2170
2AC Milan35+1563

Head to head

  • AC Milan 2–1 Napoli2025-09-28

Match preview

Napoli host AC Milan in the Serie A on 6 April 2026. Napoli sit 2nd on 70 points and AC Milan are 5th on 63. Napoli have won 3 of their last 5 (DLWWW), while AC Milan have won 2 of 5 (DLWLW). In their last 1 meetings, Napoli won 0, AC Milan won 1 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

Upcoming