Mainz vs Union Berlin: Prediction
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Tipster consensus
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MainzWLDLW
Union BerlinDLLLD| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mainz | 32 | -8 | 39 |
| 2 | Union Berlin | 32 | -15 | 35 |
Head to head
- Union Berlin 2–2 Mainz2026-01-10
Match preview
Mainz host Union Berlin in the Bundesliga on 10 May 2026. Mainz sit 10th on 39 points and Union Berlin are 13th on 35. Mainz have won 2 of their last 5 (WLDLW), while Union Berlin have won 0 of 5 (DLLLD). In their last 1 meetings, Mainz won 0, Union Berlin won 0 and 1 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
