Skip
EnglishEN ▾
FTMatchday 1

Mainz vs Paderborn: Prediction

Not enough past results yet.

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1499 – 1497

Recent form

MainzDLWLW
Paderborn–
#TeamPGDPts
1Mainz7+210
2Paderborn709

Head to head

Not enough past results yet.

Match preview

Mainz host Paderborn in the Bundesliga on 29 August 2026. Mainz sit 8th on 10 points and Paderborn are 10th on 9. Mainz have won 2 of their last 5 (DLWLW), while Paderborn have won 0 of 0. There is no recent head-to-head record between these sides in our data. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

Upcoming