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FTMatchday 8

Madura United vs Semen Padang: Prediction

📍 Gelora Madura Ratu Pamelingan Stadium

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

0 goals
Madura UnitedSemen Padang
  1. Kerim Palićyellow card15'

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1506 – 1407

Recent form

Madura UnitedDWLLD
Semen PadangLLWLW
#TeamPGDPts
1Madura United31-1434
2Semen Padang31-3620

Head to head

  • Semen Padang 0–1 Madura United2026-04-29

Match preview

Madura United host Semen Padang in the Liga 1 Indonesia on 28 December 2025. Madura United sit 13th on 34 points and Semen Padang are 17th on 20. Madura United have won 1 of their last 5 (DWLLD), while Semen Padang have won 2 of 5 (LLWLW). In their last 1 meetings, Madura United won 1, Semen Padang won 0 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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