Madura United vs Persebaya Surabaya: Prediction
📍 Gelora Madura Ratu Pamelingan Stadium
Not enough past results yet.
Match events
0 goals- 71'⇄Rachmat Iriantoon
Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.
Tipster consensus
0 tracked tipstersNo tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.
Recent form
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 31 | +27 | 56 | |
| 2 | 31 | -14 | 34 |
Head to head
- Persebaya Surabaya 3–1 Madura United2026-10-26
- Persebaya Surabaya 1–2 Madura United2026-04-17
Match preview
Madura United host Persebaya Surabaya in the Liga 1 Indonesia on 3 January 2026. Madura United sit 13th on 34 points and Persebaya Surabaya are 4th on 56. Madura United have won 2 of their last 5 (WLLDW), while Persebaya Surabaya have won 1 of 5 (DDDDW). In their last 2 meetings, Madura United won 1, Persebaya Surabaya won 1 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

