Lecce vs Parma: Prediction
📍 Stadio Via del mare
Not enough past results yet.
Match events
3 goals- ⚽Nikola Štulićassist Lameck Banda1'
- Santiago Pierottiyellow card23'
- ⇄Santiago Pierottion54'
- Ylber Ramadaniyellow card55'
- Lameck Bandared card57'
- Mohamed Kabayellow card62'
- 63'⇄Mandela Keitaon
- 64'⚽Tiago Gabrielown goal
- ⇄Nikola Štulićon65'
- 69'Enrico Del Pratoyellow card
- 72'⚽Mateo Pellegrinoassist Adrián Bernabé
- ⇄Corrie Ndabaon77'
- ⇄Youssef Malehon78'
- ⇄Ylber Ramadanion78'
- 80'⇄Jacob Ondrejkaon
- 80'⇄Adrián Bernabéon
- 84'⇄Gaetano Oristanioon
- Kialonda Gasparred card90'
Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.
Match stats
- 41%Possession59%
- 0.88Expected goals (xG)1.12
- 10Shots12
- 1Shots on target2
- 3Corners3
- 16Fouls17
- 3Yellow cards1
- 2Red cards0
- 0Offsides2
- 2Saves0
- 281Passes412
Line-ups
Lecce
- 30Wladimiro Falcone
- 93Youssef Maleh
- 20Ylber Ramadani
- 19Lameck Banda
- 3Corrie Ndaba
- 17Danilo Veiga
- 50Santiago Pierotti
- 77Mohamed Kaba
- 9Nikola Štulić
- 4Kialonda Gaspar
- 44Tiago Gabriel
Parma
- 5Lautaro Valenti
- 15Enrico Del Prato
- 14Emanuele Valeri
- 22Oliver Sørensen
- 16Mandela Keita
- 21Gaetano Oristanio
- 17Jacob Ondrejka
- 10Adrián Bernabé
- 39Alessandro Circati
- 40Edoardo Corvi
- 9Mateo Pellegrino
Tipster consensus
0 tracked tipstersNo tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.
Recent form
LecceWLLDL
ParmaLWWDL| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Parma | 35 | -17 | 43 |
| 2 | Lecce | 35 | -22 | 32 |
Head to head
- Parma 0–1 Lecce2025-10-04
Match preview
Lecce host Parma in the Serie A on 11 January 2026. Lecce sit 17th on 32 points and Parma are 13th on 43. Lecce have won 1 of their last 5 (WLLDL), while Parma have won 2 of 5 (LWWDL). In their last 1 meetings, Lecce won 1, Parma won 0 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
