Kick-off · Sun, 4 Apr, 10:00 pm ISTMatchday 30
Lecce vs Lazio: Prediction
Lecce50%Away win
Lazio26% Home win24% Draw50% Away win
Tipster consensus · who picked what
0 tracked tipstersNo tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.
Most likely score1-1
Expected goals (model)1.11 – 1.64
Team rating (Elo)1442 – 1588
Recent form
LecceLLWLLLazioWWWWW| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lazio | 8 | +14 | 22 |
| 2 | Lecce | 8 | -5 | 9 |
Head to head
- Lecce 0–0 Lazio2026-01-24
- Lazio 2–0 Lecce2025-11-23
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
