Lecce vs Fiorentina: Prediction
📍 Stadio Via del mare
Not enough past results yet.
Match events
2 goals- 11'⇄Robin Gosenson
- 30'⚽Jack Harrisonassist Rolando Mandragora
- ⇄Konan N’Drion56'
- ⇄Oumar Ngomon57'
- ⇄Walid Cheddiraon57'
- 60'⇄Albert Guðmundssonon
- Santiago Pierottiyellow card62'
- ⚽Tiago Gabrielassist Antonino Gallo71'
- Tiago Gabrielyellow card72'
- 76'David de Geayellow card
- 80'Marin Pongračićyellow card
- 80'⇄Jack Harrisonon
- 80'⇄Nicolò Fagiolion
- 80'⇄Cher Ndouron
- 82'Jacopo Fazziniyellow card
- ⇄Antonino Galloon85'
- 90'Manor Solomonyellow card
Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.
Match stats
- 55%Possession45%
- 1.26Expected goals (xG)1.14
- 14Shots5
- 4Shots on target3
- 5Corners2
- 8Fouls13
- 2Yellow cards4
- 0Red cards0
- 2Offsides1
- 2Saves2
- 373Passes327
Line-ups
Lecce
- 30Wladimiro Falcone
- 29Lassana Coulibaly
- 11Konan N’Dri
- 20Ylber Ramadani
- 25Antonino Gallo
- 99Walid Cheddira
- 17Danilo Veiga
- 50Santiago Pierotti
- 5Jamil Siebert
- 44Tiago Gabriel
- 79Oumar Ngom
Fiorentina
- 43David de Gea
- 8Rolando Mandragora
- 21Robin Gosens
- 17Jack Harrison
- 91Roberto Piccoli
- 6Luca Ranieri
- 5Marin Pongračić
- 10Albert Guðmundsson
- 2Dodô
- 44Nicolò Fagioli
- 27Cher Ndour
Tipster consensus
0 tracked tipstersNo tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.
Recent form
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 35 | -8 | 40 | |
| 2 | 35 | -22 | 32 |
Head to head
- Fiorentina 0–1 Lecce2025-11-02
Match preview
Lecce host Fiorentina in the Serie A on 20 April 2026. Lecce sit 17th on 32 points and Fiorentina are 15th on 40. Lecce have won 0 of their last 5 (LLLLL), while Fiorentina have won 3 of 5 (LWDWW). In their last 1 meetings, Lecce won 1, Fiorentina won 0 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

