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FTMatchday 33

Lecce vs Fiorentina: Prediction

📍 Stadio Via del mare

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

2 goals
LecceFiorentina
  1. 11'Robin Gosenson
  2. 30'Jack Harrisonassist Rolando Mandragora
  3. Konan N’Drion56'
  4. Oumar Ngomon57'
  5. Walid Cheddiraon57'
  6. 60'Albert Guðmundssonon
  7. Santiago Pierottiyellow card62'
  8. Tiago Gabrielassist Antonino Gallo71'
  9. Tiago Gabrielyellow card72'
  10. 76'David de Geayellow card
  11. 80'Marin Pongračićyellow card
  12. 80'Jack Harrisonon
  13. 80'Nicolò Fagiolion
  14. 80'Cher Ndouron
  15. 82'Jacopo Fazziniyellow card
  16. Antonino Galloon85'
  17. 90'Manor Solomonyellow card

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Match stats

LecceFiorentina
  • 55%Possession45%
  • 1.26Expected goals (xG)1.14
  • 14Shots5
  • 4Shots on target3
  • 5Corners2
  • 8Fouls13
  • 2Yellow cards4
  • 0Red cards0
  • 2Offsides1
  • 2Saves2
  • 373Passes327

Line-ups

Lecce

  • 30Wladimiro Falcone
  • 29Lassana Coulibaly
  • 11Konan N’Dri
  • 20Ylber Ramadani
  • 25Antonino Gallo
  • 99Walid Cheddira
  • 17Danilo Veiga
  • 50Santiago Pierotti
  • 5Jamil Siebert
  • 44Tiago Gabriel
  • 79Oumar Ngom

Fiorentina

  • 43David de Gea
  • 8Rolando Mandragora
  • 21Robin Gosens
  • 17Jack Harrison
  • 91Roberto Piccoli
  • 6Luca Ranieri
  • 5Marin Pongračić
  • 10Albert Guðmundsson
  • 2Dodô
  • 44Nicolò Fagioli
  • 27Cher Ndour

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1431 – 1481

Recent form

LecceLLLLL
FiorentinaLWDWW
#TeamPGDPts
1Fiorentina35-840
2Lecce35-2232

Head to head

  • Fiorentina 0–1 Lecce2025-11-02

Match preview

Lecce host Fiorentina in the Serie A on 20 April 2026. Lecce sit 17th on 32 points and Fiorentina are 15th on 40. Lecce have won 0 of their last 5 (LLLLL), while Fiorentina have won 3 of 5 (LWDWW). In their last 1 meetings, Lecce won 1, Fiorentina won 0 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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