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FTMatchday 4

Lecce vs Cagliari: Prediction

📍 Stadio Via del mare

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

3 goals
LecceCagliari
  1. Tiago Coelho Oliveiraassist Riccardo Sottil5'
  2. Tiago Coelho Oliveirayellow card20'
  3. Lassana Coulibalyyellow card27'
  4. 33'Andrea Belottiassist Marco Palestra
  5. 45'Sebastiano Espositoyellow card
  6. Antonino Galloon46'
  7. Álex Salaon46'
  8. 58'Matteo Pratiyellow card
  9. 60'Matteo Pration
  10. 60'Sebastiano Espositoon
  11. Riccardo Sottilon61'
  12. 71'Andrea Belottipenalty
  13. 72'Andrea Belottion
  14. 73'Ndary Adopoon
  15. Ylber Ramadanion73'
  16. Santiago Pierottion80'
  17. 86'Alessandro Deiolaon
  18. 89'Adam Obertyellow card

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Line-ups

Lecce

  • 30Wladimiro Falcone
  • 23Riccardo Sottil
  • 29Lassana Coulibaly
  • 20Ylber Ramadani
  • 25Antonino Gallo
  • 6Álex Sala
  • 50Santiago Pierotti
  • 9Nikola Štulić
  • 4Kialonda Gaspar

Cagliari

  • 19Andrea Belotti
  • 26Yerry Mina
  • 14Alessandro Deiola
  • 94Sebastiano Esposito
  • 6Sebastiano Luperto
  • 90Michael Folorunsho
  • 33Adam Obert
  • 8Ndary Adopo
  • 1Elia Caprile
  • 16Matteo Prati
  • 2Marco Palestra

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1431 – 1467

Recent form

LecceDL
CagliariDW
#TeamPGDPts
1Cagliari35-1043
2Lecce35-2232

Head to head

  • Cagliari 1–0 Lecce2026-09-07
  • Cagliari 0–2 Lecce2026-02-16

Match preview

Lecce host Cagliari in the Serie A on 19 September 2025. Lecce sit 17th on 32 points and Cagliari are 12th on 43. Lecce have won 0 of their last 2 (DL), while Cagliari have won 1 of 2 (DW). In their last 2 meetings, Lecce won 1, Cagliari won 1 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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