Lecce vs Bologna: Prediction
📍 Stadio Via del mare
Not enough past results yet.
Match events
4 goals- ⚽Lassana Coulibaly13'
- 29'Thijs Dallingayellow card
- 45'⚽Riccardo Orsolinipenalty
- ⇄Christ-Owen Kouassi Batheleon46'
- Kialonda Gasparyellow card55'
- Ylber Ramadaniyellow card61'
- 62'⇄Riccardo Orsolinion
- Antonino Galloyellow card66'
- ⇄Nikola Štulićon67'
- 68'⇄Thijs Dallingaon
- 68'⇄Jonathan Roweon
- ⇄Antonino Galloon69'
- 69'⇄Giovanni Fabbianon
- 71'⚽Jens Odgaardassist Emil Holm
- ⇄Lassana Coulibalyon77'
- ⇄Tete Morenteon77'
- 83'⇄Emil Holmon
- 89'Federico Bernardeschiyellow card
- ⚽Francesco Camardaassist Medon Berisha90'
- Francesco Camardayellow card90'
Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.
Match stats
- 33%Possession67%
- 2Expected goals (xG)1
- 12Shots14
- 4Shots on target5
- 3Corners9
- 14Fouls13
- 4Yellow cards2
- 0Red cards0
- 1Offsides4
- 3Saves2
- 251Passes514
Line-ups
Lecce
- 30Wladimiro Falcone
- 29Lassana Coulibaly
- 7Tete Morente
- 20Ylber Ramadani
- 25Antonino Gallo
- 50Santiago Pierotti
- 9Nikola Štulić
- 10Medon Berisha
- 4Kialonda Gaspar
Bologna
- 1Lukasz Skorupski
- 19Lewis Ferguson
- 33Juan Miranda
- 7Riccardo Orsolini
- 24Thijs Dallinga
- 6Nikola Moro
- 26Jhon Lucumí
- 2Emil Holm
- 11Jonathan Rowe
- 80Giovanni Fabbian
- 14Torbjørn Heggem
Tipster consensus
0 tracked tipstersNo tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.
Recent form
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 35 | +4 | 53 | |
| 2 | 35 | -22 | 32 |
Head to head
- Lecce 1–2 Bologna2026-10-11
- Bologna 2–0 Lecce2026-04-12
Match preview
Lecce host Bologna in the Serie A on 28 September 2025. Lecce sit 17th on 32 points and Bologna are 8th on 53. Lecce have won 0 of their last 3 (DLL), while Bologna have won 1 of 3 (LLW). In their last 2 meetings, Lecce won 0, Bologna won 2 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

