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FTMatchday 5

Lecce vs Bologna: Prediction

📍 Stadio Via del mare

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

4 goals
LecceBologna
  1. Lassana Coulibaly13'
  2. 29'Thijs Dallingayellow card
  3. 45'Riccardo Orsolinipenalty
  4. Christ-Owen Kouassi Batheleon46'
  5. Kialonda Gasparyellow card55'
  6. Ylber Ramadaniyellow card61'
  7. 62'Riccardo Orsolinion
  8. Antonino Galloyellow card66'
  9. Nikola Štulićon67'
  10. 68'Thijs Dallingaon
  11. 68'Jonathan Roweon
  12. Antonino Galloon69'
  13. 69'Giovanni Fabbianon
  14. 71'Jens Odgaardassist Emil Holm
  15. Lassana Coulibalyon77'
  16. Tete Morenteon77'
  17. 83'Emil Holmon
  18. 89'Federico Bernardeschiyellow card
  19. Francesco Camardaassist Medon Berisha90'
  20. Francesco Camardayellow card90'

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Match stats

LecceBologna
  • 33%Possession67%
  • 2Expected goals (xG)1
  • 12Shots14
  • 4Shots on target5
  • 3Corners9
  • 14Fouls13
  • 4Yellow cards2
  • 0Red cards0
  • 1Offsides4
  • 3Saves2
  • 251Passes514

Line-ups

Lecce

  • 30Wladimiro Falcone
  • 29Lassana Coulibaly
  • 7Tete Morente
  • 20Ylber Ramadani
  • 25Antonino Gallo
  • 50Santiago Pierotti
  • 9Nikola Štulić
  • 10Medon Berisha
  • 4Kialonda Gaspar

Bologna

  • 1Lukasz Skorupski
  • 19Lewis Ferguson
  • 33Juan Miranda
  • 7Riccardo Orsolini
  • 24Thijs Dallinga
  • 6Nikola Moro
  • 26Jhon Lucumí
  • 2Emil Holm
  • 11Jonathan Rowe
  • 80Giovanni Fabbian
  • 14Torbjørn Heggem

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1431 – 1534

Recent form

LecceDLL
BolognaLLW
#TeamPGDPts
1Bologna35+453
2Lecce35-2232

Head to head

  • Lecce 1–2 Bologna2026-10-11
  • Bologna 2–0 Lecce2026-04-12

Match preview

Lecce host Bologna in the Serie A on 28 September 2025. Lecce sit 17th on 32 points and Bologna are 8th on 53. Lecce have won 0 of their last 3 (DLL), while Bologna have won 1 of 3 (LLW). In their last 2 meetings, Lecce won 0, Bologna won 2 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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