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FTMatchday 31

Lecce vs Atalanta: Prediction

📍 Stadio Via del mare

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

3 goals
LecceAtalanta
  1. 29'Giorgio Scalviniassist Charles De Ketelaere
  2. Sadik Fofanaon46'
  3. 47'Berat Djimsitiyellow card
  4. 59'Nikola Krstovićassist Charles De Ketelaere
  5. 63'Nicola Zalewskion
  6. 63'Marten de Roonon
  7. Danilo Veigaon67'
  8. Ylber Ramadanion68'
  9. 70'Davide Zappacostayellow card
  10. 70'Davide Zappacostaon
  11. 70'Berat Djimsition
  12. 73'Giacomo Raspadoriassist Mario Pasalic
  13. Walid Cheddiraon78'
  14. 80'Nikola Krstovićon

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Match stats

LecceAtalanta
  • 39%Possession61%
  • 0.13Expected goals (xG)0.74
  • 4Shots5
  • 0Shots on target3
  • 0Corners2
  • 7Fouls7
  • 0Yellow cards0
  • 0Red cards0
  • 0Offsides2
  • 2Saves0
  • 147Passes237

Line-ups

Lecce

  • 30Wladimiro Falcone
  • 20Ylber Ramadani
  • 19Lameck Banda
  • 99Walid Cheddira
  • 3Corrie Ndaba
  • 8Sadik Fofana
  • 17Danilo Veiga
  • 50Santiago Pierotti
  • 5Jamil Siebert
  • 44Tiago Gabriel
  • 79Oumar Ngom

Atalanta

  • 77Davide Zappacosta
  • 15Marten de Roon
  • 23Sead Kolasinac
  • 19Berat Djimsiti
  • 17Charles De Ketelaere
  • 29Marco Carnesecchi
  • 59Nicola Zalewski
  • 42Giorgio Scalvini
  • 13Éderson
  • 90Nikola Krstović
  • 47Lorenzo Bernasconi

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1431 – 1515

Recent form

LecceWLLLL
AtalantaWWLDW
#TeamPGDPts
1Atalanta35+1454
2Lecce35-2232

Head to head

  • Atalanta 4–1 Lecce2025-09-14

Match preview

Lecce host Atalanta in the Serie A on 6 April 2026. Lecce sit 17th on 32 points and Atalanta are 7th on 54. Lecce have won 1 of their last 5 (WLLLL), while Atalanta have won 3 of 5 (WWLDW). In their last 1 meetings, Lecce won 0, Atalanta won 1 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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