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FTMatchday 4

Lazio vs Roma: Prediction

📍 Stadio Olimpico

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

1 goal
LazioRoma
  1. Fisayo Dele-Bashiruon14'
  2. 38'Lorenzo Pellegriniassist Matías Soulé
  3. Nicolò Rovellaon46'
  4. Nuno Tavareson46'
  5. Boulaye Diaon62'
  6. 66'Evan Fergusonon
  7. 73'Lorenzo Pellegrinion
  8. 73'Matías Souléon
  9. Pedroon79'
  10. 81'Angeliñoon
  11. 81'Bryan Cristanteon
  12. 83'Evan N'Dickayellow card
  13. Reda Belahyanered card86'
  14. Mario Gilayellow card88'
  15. Matteo Guendouzired card90'

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Match stats

LazioRoma
  • 49%Possession51%
  • 1Expected goals (xG)1
  • 10Shots13
  • 2Shots on target6
  • 3Corners6
  • 14Fouls22
  • 1Yellow cards1
  • 2Red cards0
  • 0Offsides4
  • 5Saves2
  • 388Passes406

Line-ups

Lazio

  • 9Pedro
  • 13Alessio Romagnoli
  • 10Mattia Zaccagni
  • 94Ivan Provedel
  • 77Adam Marusic
  • 8Matteo Guendouzi
  • 6Nicolò Rovella
  • 19Boulaye Dia
  • 17Nuno Tavares
  • 7Fisayo Dele-Bashiru
  • 34Mario Gila

Roma

  • 3Angeliño
  • 4Bryan Cristante
  • 7Lorenzo Pellegrini
  • 23Gianluca Mancini
  • 99Mile Svilar
  • 19Zeki Çelik
  • 5Evan N'Dicka
  • 17Manu Koné
  • 2Devyne Rensch
  • 11Evan Ferguson
  • 18Matías Soulé

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1593 – 1499

Recent form

LazioLL
RomaWL
#TeamPGDPts
1Roma35+2767
2Lazio35-545

Head to head

  • Roma 2–0 Lazio2026-05-17

Match preview

Lazio host Roma in the Serie A on 21 September 2025. Lazio sit 10th on 45 points and Roma are 4th on 67. Lazio have won 0 of their last 2 (LL), while Roma have won 1 of 2 (WL). In their last 1 meetings, Lazio won 0, Roma won 1 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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