Kick-off · Sat, 21 Nov, 07:30 pm ISTMatchday 12
Lazio vs Lecce: Prediction
Lazio65%Home win
Lecce65% Home win20% Draw15% Away win
Tipster consensus · who picked what
0 tracked tipstersNo tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.
Most likely score2-0
Expected goals (model)2.07 – 0.88
Team rating (Elo)1588 – 1442
Recent form
LazioWWWWWLecceLLWLL| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lazio | 8 | +14 | 22 |
| 2 | Lecce | 8 | -5 | 9 |
Head to head
- Lecce 0–0 Lazio2026-01-24
- Lazio 2–0 Lecce2025-11-23
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The read is frozen at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
