Skip
EnglishEN ▾
FTMatchday 23

Lazio vs Genoa: Prediction

📍 Stadio Olimpico

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

5 goals
LazioGenoa
  1. Pedropenalty56'
  2. Kenneth Taylorassist Gustav Isaksen62'
  3. 64'Ruslan Malinovskyiyellow card
  4. Ivan Provedelyellow card67'
  5. 67'Ruslan Malinovskyipenalty
  6. 68'Aarón Martínon
  7. 72'Leo Østigårdyellow card
  8. Daniel Maldinion72'
  9. Pedroon73'
  10. Luca Pellegriniyellow card74'
  11. 75'Vítor Oliveira
  12. 80'Vítor Oliveiraon
  13. 80'Lorenzo Colomboon
  14. Luca Pellegrinion81'
  15. Kenneth Tayloron82'
  16. Gustav Isaksenon87'
  17. 87'Ruslan Malinovskyion
  18. 90'Brooke Norton-Cuffyyellow card
  19. Danilo Cataldipenalty90'

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Match stats

LazioGenoa
  • 55%Possession45%
  • 2.13Expected goals (xG)1.76
  • 14Shots16
  • 4Shots on target4
  • 5Corners3
  • 12Fouls12
  • 2Yellow cards3
  • 0Red cards0
  • 2Offsides1
  • 2Saves2
  • 521Passes412

Line-ups

Lazio

  • 9Pedro
  • 94Ivan Provedel
  • 77Adam Marusic
  • 32Danilo Cataldi
  • 3Luca Pellegrini
  • 27Daniel Maldini
  • 26Toma Bašić
  • 18Gustav Isaksen
  • 24Kenneth Taylor
  • 34Mario Gila
  • 25Oliver Provstgaard Nielsen

Genoa

  • 3Aarón Martín
  • 17Ruslan Malinovskyi
  • 16Justin Bijlow
  • 29Lorenzo Colombo
  • 32Morten Wetche Frendrup
  • 5Leo Østigård
  • 22Johan Vasquez
  • 9Vítor Oliveira
  • 77Mikael Egill Ellertsson
  • 15Brooke Norton-Cuffy
  • 27Alessandro Marcandalli

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1593 – 1472

Recent form

LazioLDWLD
GenoaDDWDW
#TeamPGDPts
1Lazio35-545
2Genoa35-938

Head to head

  • Genoa 0–3 Lazio2025-09-29

Match preview

Lazio host Genoa in the Serie A on 30 January 2026. Lazio sit 10th on 45 points and Genoa are 16th on 38. Lazio have won 1 of their last 5 (LDWLD), while Genoa have won 2 of 5 (DDWDW). In their last 1 meetings, Lazio won 1, Genoa won 0 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

Upcoming