Lazio vs Genoa: Prediction
📍 Stadio Olimpico
Not enough past results yet.
Match events
5 goals- ⚽Pedropenalty56'
- ⚽Kenneth Taylorassist Gustav Isaksen62'
- 64'Ruslan Malinovskyiyellow card
- Ivan Provedelyellow card67'
- 67'⚽Ruslan Malinovskyipenalty
- 68'⇄Aarón Martínon
- 72'Leo Østigårdyellow card
- ⇄Daniel Maldinion72'
- ⇄Pedroon73'
- Luca Pellegriniyellow card74'
- 75'⚽Vítor Oliveira
- 80'⇄Vítor Oliveiraon
- 80'⇄Lorenzo Colomboon
- ⇄Luca Pellegrinion81'
- ⇄Kenneth Tayloron82'
- ⇄Gustav Isaksenon87'
- 87'⇄Ruslan Malinovskyion
- 90'Brooke Norton-Cuffyyellow card
- ⚽Danilo Cataldipenalty90'
Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.
Match stats
- 55%Possession45%
- 2.13Expected goals (xG)1.76
- 14Shots16
- 4Shots on target4
- 5Corners3
- 12Fouls12
- 2Yellow cards3
- 0Red cards0
- 2Offsides1
- 2Saves2
- 521Passes412
Line-ups
Lazio
- 9Pedro
- 94Ivan Provedel
- 77Adam Marusic
- 32Danilo Cataldi
- 3Luca Pellegrini
- 27Daniel Maldini
- 26Toma Bašić
- 18Gustav Isaksen
- 24Kenneth Taylor
- 34Mario Gila
- 25Oliver Provstgaard Nielsen
Genoa
- 3Aarón Martín
- 17Ruslan Malinovskyi
- 16Justin Bijlow
- 29Lorenzo Colombo
- 32Morten Wetche Frendrup
- 5Leo Østigård
- 22Johan Vasquez
- 9Vítor Oliveira
- 77Mikael Egill Ellertsson
- 15Brooke Norton-Cuffy
- 27Alessandro Marcandalli
Tipster consensus
0 tracked tipstersNo tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.
Recent form
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 35 | -5 | 45 | |
| 2 | 35 | -9 | 38 |
Head to head
- Genoa 0–3 Lazio2025-09-29
Match preview
Lazio host Genoa in the Serie A on 30 January 2026. Lazio sit 10th on 45 points and Genoa are 16th on 38. Lazio have won 1 of their last 5 (LDWLD), while Genoa have won 2 of 5 (DDWDW). In their last 1 meetings, Lazio won 1, Genoa won 0 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

