Kick-off · Sun, 30 May, 10:00 pm ISTMatchday 38
Lazio vs Fiorentina: Prediction
Lazio62%Home win
Fiorentina62% Home win21% Draw17% Away win
Tipster consensus · who picked what
0 tracked tipstersNo tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.
Most likely score1-0
Expected goals (model)1.99 – 0.92
Team rating (Elo)1588 – 1464
Recent form
LazioWWWWWFiorentinaDLLLD| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lazio | 8 | +14 | 22 |
| 2 | Fiorentina | 8 | -7 | 5 |
Head to head
- Fiorentina 1–0 Lazio2026-04-13
- Lazio 2–2 Fiorentina2026-01-07
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
