Lazio vs Fiorentina: Prediction
📍 Stadio Olimpico
Not enough past results yet.
Match events
4 goals- 20'Marin Pongračićyellow card
- 21'Robin Gosensyellow card
- Matteo Cancellieriyellow card26'
- ⇄Toma Bašićon29'
- ⚽Danilo Cataldiassist Matias Vecino52'
- 55'Fabiano Parisiyellow card
- 56'⚽Robin Gosensassist Nicolò Fagioli
- 60'⇄Roberto Piccolion
- 68'⇄Cher Ndouron
- 69'⇄Robin Gosenson
- 71'Nicolò Fagioliyellow card
- ⇄Gustav Isaksenon72'
- ⇄Manuel Lazzarion80'
- Mattia Zaccagniyellow card83'
- 89'⚽Albert Guðmundssonpenalty
- Luca Pellegriniyellow card90'
- 90'Hans Nicolussi Cavigliayellow card
- 90'⇄Fabiano Parision
- 90'⇄Albert Guðmundssonon
- ⚽Pedropenalty90'
Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.
Match stats
- 49%Possession51%
- 3Expected goals (xG)2
- 17Shots8
- 9Shots on target5
- 8Corners2
- 11Fouls15
- 3Yellow cards5
- 0Red cards0
- 0Offsides1
- 3Saves6
- 436Passes474
Line-ups
Lazio
- 13Alessio Romagnoli
- 10Mattia Zaccagni
- 94Ivan Provedel
- 8Matteo Guendouzi
- 29Manuel Lazzari
- 32Danilo Cataldi
- 3Luca Pellegrini
- 26Toma Bašić
- 18Gustav Isaksen
- 22Matteo Cancellieri
- 34Mario Gila
Fiorentina
- 43David de Gea
- 8Rolando Mandragora
- 21Robin Gosens
- 91Roberto Piccoli
- 5Marin Pongračić
- 10Albert Guðmundsson
- 2Dodô
- 65Fabiano Parisi
- 44Nicolò Fagioli
- 27Cher Ndour
- 15Pietro Comuzzo
Tipster consensus
0 tracked tipstersNo tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.
Recent form
LazioLDDDL
FiorentinaLLWLW| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lazio | 35 | -5 | 45 |
| 2 | Fiorentina | 35 | -8 | 40 |
Head to head
- Fiorentina 1–0 Lazio2026-04-13
Match preview
Lazio host Fiorentina in the Serie A on 7 January 2026. Lazio sit 10th on 45 points and Fiorentina are 15th on 40. Lazio have won 0 of their last 5 (LDDDL), while Fiorentina have won 2 of 5 (LLWLW). In their last 1 meetings, Lazio won 0, Fiorentina won 1 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
