Kick-off · Sun, 6 Dec, 11:00 pm ISTMatchday 14
Lazio vs Atalanta: Prediction
Lazio56%Home win
Atalanta56% Home win23% Draw21% Away win
Tipster consensus · who picked what
0 tracked tipstersNo tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.
Most likely score1-1
Expected goals (model)1.82 – 1.00
Team rating (Elo)1588 – 1515
Recent form
LazioWWWWWAtalantaLWLDD| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lazio | 8 | +14 | 22 |
| 2 | Atalanta | 8 | -2 | 8 |
Head to head
- Lazio 0–2 Atalanta2026-02-14
- Atalanta 0–0 Lazio2025-10-19
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
