FTMatchday 29

Lazio vs AC Milan: Prediction

📍 Stadio Olimpico

Lazio1

AC Milan0

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

1 goal

LazioAC Milan

Gustav Isaksenassist Adam Marusic26'
55'Pervis Estupiñányellow card
57'Pervis Estupiñánon
58'Fikayo Tomorion
66'Youssouf Fofanaon
66'Rafael Leãoon
Gustav Isaksenon67'
Daniel Maldinion67'
Edoardo Mottayellow card70'
Nuno Tavaresyellow card81'
Mattia Zaccagnion83'
84'Alexis Saelemaekerson
Patricyellow card90'
Pedroyellow card90'
Kenneth Tayloron90'

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Match stats

LazioAC Milan

41%Possession59%
0.41Expected goals (xG)1.19
7Shots17
2Shots on target3
1Corners9
7Fouls19
4Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
3Offsides4
3Saves2
409Passes564

Line-ups

Lazio

4Patric
10Mattia Zaccagni
77Adam Marusic
27Daniel Maldini
18Gustav Isaksen
17Nuno Tavares
7Fisayo Dele-Bashiru
24Kenneth Taylor
34Mario Gila
25Oliver Provstgaard Nielsen
40Edoardo Motta

AC Milan

14Luka Modric
16Mike Maignan
23Fikayo Tomori
11Christian Pulisic
10Rafael Leão
19Youssouf Fofana
56Alexis Saelemaekers
2Pervis Estupiñán
31Strahinja Pavlović
5Koni De Winter
30Ardon Jashari

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–

Expected goals (model)–

Team rating (Elo)1593 – 1571

Recent form

LazioWDLDL

AC MilanWWDLW

#	Team	P	GD	Pts
1	AC Milan	35	+15	63
2	Lazio	35	-5	45

Head to head

Lazio 2–2 AC Milan2026-09-12
AC Milan 1–0 Lazio2025-11-29

Match preview

Lazio host AC Milan in the Serie A on 15 March 2026. Lazio sit 10th on 45 points and AC Milan are 5th on 63. Lazio have won 1 of their last 5 (WDLDL), while AC Milan have won 3 of 5 (WWDLW). In their last 2 meetings, Lazio won 0, AC Milan won 1 and 1 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.