Kick-off · Sun, 25 Apr, 10:00 pm ISTMatchday 33
Juventus vs Fiorentina: Prediction
Juventus56%Home win
Fiorentina56% Home win23% Draw21% Away win
Tipster consensus · who picked what
0 tracked tipstersNo tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.
Most likely score1-1
Expected goals (model)1.80 – 1.01
Team rating (Elo)1502 – 1464
Recent form
JuventusWDLWLFiorentinaDLLLD| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Juventus | 8 | -1 | 11 |
| 2 | Fiorentina | 8 | -7 | 5 |
Head to head
- Juventus 0–2 Fiorentina2026-05-17
- Fiorentina 1–1 Juventus2025-11-22
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
