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FTMatchday 16

Inter Milan vs Lecce: Prediction

📍 Stadio Giuseppe Meazza

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

1 goal
Inter MilanLecce
  1. Marcus Thuramyellow card17'
  2. Nicolo Barellaon56'
  3. Ange-Yoan Bonnyon56'
  4. Andy Dioufon57'
  5. 63'Danilo Veigayellow card
  6. 69'Riccardo Sottilon
  7. 69'Omri Gandelmanon
  8. Henrikh Mkhitaryanon72'
  9. Francesco Esposito78'
  10. 82'Santiago Pierottion
  11. 86'Youssef Malehon
  12. Marcus Thuramon87'
  13. Luis Henriqueyellow card90'

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Match stats

Inter MilanLecce
  • 68%Possession32%
  • 1.78Expected goals (xG)0.48
  • 21Shots10
  • 7Shots on target1
  • 11Corners3
  • 11Fouls14
  • 2Yellow cards1
  • 0Red cards0
  • 3Offsides1
  • 1Saves6
  • 514Passes253

Line-ups

Inter Milan

  • 23Nicolo Barella
  • 22Henrikh Mkhitaryan
  • 25Manuel Akanji
  • 7Piotr Zieliński
  • 1Yann Sommer
  • 15Francesco Acerbi
  • 9Marcus Thuram
  • 95Alessandro Bastoni
  • 30Carlos Neves
  • 17Andy Diouf
  • 14Ange-Yoan Bonny

Lecce

  • 30Wladimiro Falcone
  • 23Riccardo Sottil
  • 29Lassana Coulibaly
  • 93Youssef Maleh
  • 25Antonino Gallo
  • 17Danilo Veiga
  • 50Santiago Pierotti
  • 9Nikola Štulić
  • 16Omri Gandelman
  • 5Jamil Siebert
  • 44Tiago Gabriel

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1537 – 1431

Recent form

Inter MilanWWWWD
LecceLLDLL
#TeamPGDPts
1Inter Milan35+5584
2Lecce35-2232

Head to head

  • Lecce 0–2 Inter Milan2026-02-21

Match preview

Inter Milan host Lecce in the Serie A on 14 January 2026. Inter Milan sit 1st on 84 points and Lecce are 17th on 32. Inter Milan have won 4 of their last 5 (WWWWD), while Lecce have won 0 of 5 (LLDLL). In their last 1 meetings, Inter Milan won 1, Lecce won 0 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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