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FTMatchday 33

Hoffenheim vs Werder Bremen: Prediction

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

1 goal
HoffenheimWerder Bremen
  1. 5'Yukinari Sugawarared card
  2. Bazoumana Touréassist Andrej Kramarić26'
  3. 41'Cameron Puertasyellow card
  4. Bazoumana Touréon57'

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1501 – 1489

Recent form

HoffenheimLDWWD
Werder BremenLLWDL
#TeamPGDPts
1Hoffenheim32+1157
2Werder Bremen32-2329

Head to head

  • Werder Bremen 2–0 Hoffenheim2026-10-31
  • Werder Bremen 0–2 Hoffenheim2026-01-27

Match preview

Hoffenheim host Werder Bremen in the Bundesliga on 9 May 2026. Hoffenheim sit 5th on 57 points and Werder Bremen are 16th on 29. Hoffenheim have won 2 of their last 5 (LDWWD), while Werder Bremen have won 1 of 5 (LLWDL). In their last 2 meetings, Hoffenheim won 1, Werder Bremen won 1 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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