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FTMatchday 2

Hoffenheim vs Borussia Dortmund: Prediction

Not enough past results yet.

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1501 – 1529

Recent form

HoffenheimWDWLL
Borussia DortmundWLWWW
#TeamPGDPts
1Borussia Dortmund7+515
2Hoffenheim7-36

Head to head

  • Hoffenheim 2–1 Borussia Dortmund2026-04-18
  • Borussia Dortmund 2–0 Hoffenheim2025-12-07

Match preview

Hoffenheim host Borussia Dortmund in the Bundesliga on 5 September 2026. Hoffenheim sit 14th on 6 points and Borussia Dortmund are 2nd on 15. Hoffenheim have won 2 of their last 5 (WDWLL), while Borussia Dortmund have won 4 of 5 (WLWWW). In their last 2 meetings, Hoffenheim won 1, Borussia Dortmund won 1 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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