Kick-off · Sat, 28 Nov, 08:00 pm ISTMatchday 11
Hamburg vs Bayern Munich: Prediction
Hamburg62%Away win
Bayern Munich18% Home win20% Draw62% Away win
Tipster consensus · who picked what
0 tracked tipstersNo tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.
Most likely score1-2
Expected goals (model)1.09 – 2.20
Team rating (Elo)1468 – 1545
Recent form
HamburgLWWWLBayern MunichDDWDW| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bayern Munich | 6 | +18 | 14 |
| 2 | Hamburg | 6 | -5 | 9 |
Head to head
- Hamburg 2–2 Bayern Munich2026-01-31
- Bayern Munich 5–0 Hamburg2025-09-13
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
