Kick-off · Sun, 25 Apr, 10:00 pm ISTMatchday 33
Genoa vs Sassuolo: Prediction
Genoa47%Home win
Sassuolo47% Home win25% Draw28% Away win
Tipster consensus · who picked what
0 tracked tipstersNo tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.
Most likely score1-1
Expected goals (model)1.58 – 1.16
Team rating (Elo)1461 – 1453
Recent form
GenoaLWLWWSassuoloLDLLL| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Genoa | 8 | -4 | 10 |
| 2 | Sassuolo | 8 | -9 | 5 |
Head to head
- Genoa 2–1 Sassuolo2026-04-12
- Sassuolo 1–2 Genoa2025-11-03
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
