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FTMatchday 32

Genoa vs Sassuolo: Prediction

📍 Stadio Luigi Ferraris

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

3 goals
GenoaSassuolo
  1. Ruslan Malinovskyiyellow card5'
  2. Ruslan Malinovskyiassist Tommaso Baldanzi18'
  3. Morten Wetche Frendrupyellow card20'
  4. 32'Josh Doigyellow card
  5. 40'Sebastian Walukiewiczyellow card
  6. Mikael Egill Ellertssonred card45'
  7. 45'Domenico Berardired card
  8. Ruslan Malinovskyion55'
  9. Tommaso Baldanzion55'
  10. Lorenzo Colomboon55'
  11. 57'Ismaël Koné
  12. 67'Sebastian Walukiewiczon
  13. 67'Nemanja Maticon
  14. Vítor Oliveiraon75'
  15. 81'Josh Doigon
  16. 81'Andrea Pinamontion
  17. Caleb Ekubanassist Junior Messias84'
  18. 87'Ismaël Konéon
  19. Stefano Sabellion87'
  20. 90'Tarik Muharemovićyellow card

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Match stats

GenoaSassuolo
  • 52%Possession48%
  • 1.20Expected goals (xG)1.29
  • 14Shots15
  • 7Shots on target6
  • 5Corners3
  • 9Fouls14
  • 2Yellow cards3
  • 1Red cards1
  • 1Offsides1
  • 5Saves5
  • 442Passes410

Line-ups

Genoa

  • 17Ruslan Malinovskyi
  • 20Stefano Sabelli
  • 16Justin Bijlow
  • 29Lorenzo Colombo
  • 32Morten Wetche Frendrup
  • 5Leo Østigård
  • 8Tommaso Baldanzi
  • 22Johan Vasquez
  • 9Vítor Oliveira
  • 77Mikael Egill Ellertsson
  • 27Alessandro Marcandalli

Sassuolo

  • 18Nemanja Matic
  • 10Domenico Berardi
  • 6Sebastian Walukiewicz
  • 99Andrea Pinamonti
  • 45Armand Laurienté
  • 3Josh Doig
  • 49Arijanet Murić
  • 42Kristian Thorstvedt
  • 21Jay Idzes
  • 90Ismaël Koné
  • 80Tarik Muharemović

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1472 – 1436

Recent form

GenoaWLWLL
SassuoloWWLDW
#TeamPGDPts
1Sassuolo35-248
2Genoa35-938

Head to head

  • Sassuolo 1–2 Genoa2025-11-03

Match preview

Genoa host Sassuolo in the Serie A on 12 April 2026. Genoa sit 16th on 38 points and Sassuolo are 9th on 48. Genoa have won 2 of their last 5 (WLWLL), while Sassuolo have won 3 of 5 (WWLDW). In their last 1 meetings, Genoa won 1, Sassuolo won 0 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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