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Kick-off · Sun, 24 Jan, 11:00 pm ISTMatchday 21

Genoa vs Parma: Prediction

Genoa
51%Home win
Parma

Tipster consensus · who picked what

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score1-1
Expected goals (model)1.66 – 1.10
Team rating (Elo)1461 – 1429

Recent form

GenoaLWLWW
ParmaWLLLD
#TeamPGDPts
1Genoa8-410
2Parma8-85

Head to head

  • Parma 2–1 Genoa2026-09-20
  • Parma 0–0 Genoa2026-01-18
  • Genoa 0–0 Parma2025-10-19

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The read is frozen at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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