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FTMatchday 24

Genoa vs Napoli: Prediction

📍 Stadio Luigi Ferraris

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

5 goals
GenoaNapoli
  1. 2'Alex Meretyellow card
  2. Ruslan Malinovskyipenalty3'
  3. 20'Rasmus Højlund
  4. 22'Scott McTominayassist Amir Rrahmani
  5. 46'Scott McTominayon
  6. Johan Vasquezyellow card50'
  7. Lorenzo Colombo57'
  8. 59'Juan Jesusyellow card
  9. 59'Alessandro Buongiornoon
  10. Lorenzo Colomboon64'
  11. Aarón Martínon74'
  12. Ruslan Malinovskyion74'
  13. 76'Juan Jesusyellow card
  14. 76'Juan Jesusred card
  15. 77'Juan Jesuson
  16. Alessandro Marcandalliyellow card82'
  17. Vítor Oliveiraon89'
  18. 90'Leonardo Spinazzolayellow card
  19. 90'Rasmus Højlundpenalty

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Match stats

GenoaNapoli
  • 40%Possession60%
  • 1.32Expected goals (xG)2.30
  • 12Shots14
  • 3Shots on target5
  • 4Corners3
  • 16Fouls12
  • 2Yellow cards4
  • 0Red cards1
  • 1Offsides1
  • 2Saves1
  • 313Passes499

Line-ups

Genoa

  • 3Aarón Martín
  • 17Ruslan Malinovskyi
  • 16Justin Bijlow
  • 29Lorenzo Colombo
  • 32Morten Wetche Frendrup
  • 5Leo Østigård
  • 22Johan Vasquez
  • 9Vítor Oliveira
  • 77Mikael Egill Ellertsson
  • 15Brooke Norton-Cuffy
  • 27Alessandro Marcandalli

Napoli

  • 5Juan Jesus
  • 68Stanislav Lobotka
  • 1Alex Meret
  • 37Leonardo Spinazzola
  • 8Scott McTominay
  • 20Eljif Elmas
  • 13Amir Rrahmani
  • 4Alessandro Buongiorno
  • 19Rasmus Højlund
  • 3Miguel Gutiérrez
  • 26Antonio Vergara

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1472 – 1465

Recent form

GenoaDWDWL
NapoliDDWLW
#TeamPGDPts
1Napoli35+2170
2Genoa35-938

Head to head

  • Genoa 0–2 Napoli2026-08-22
  • Napoli 2–1 Genoa2025-10-05

Match preview

Genoa host Napoli in the Serie A on 7 February 2026. Genoa sit 16th on 38 points and Napoli are 2nd on 70. Genoa have won 2 of their last 5 (DWDWL), while Napoli have won 2 of 5 (DDWLW). In their last 2 meetings, Genoa won 0, Napoli won 2 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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