Genoa vs Lecce: Prediction
📍 Stadio Luigi Ferraris
Not enough past results yet.
Match events
0 goals- 22'Lameck Bandayellow card
- 36'Danilo Veigayellow card
- 59'⇄Lameck Bandaon
- ⇄Albert Grønbækon60'
- 60'⇄Medon Berishaon
- 68'⇄Danilo Veigaon
- ⇄Valentín Carbonion73'
- ⇄Lorenzo Colomboon73'
- Aarón Martínyellow card75'
- 76'Tete Morenteyellow card
- 83'⇄Lassana Coulibalyon
- 83'⇄Francesco Camardaon
- Jeff Ekhator Osayukiyellow card86'
- ⇄Nicolae Stanciuon87'
- ⇄Morten Wetche Frendrupon87'
Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.
Match stats
- 59%Possession41%
- 0Expected goals (xG)0
- 5Shots7
- 2Shots on target0
- 3Corners7
- 16Fouls13
- 2Yellow cards3
- 0Red cards0
- 0Offsides2
- 0Saves2
- 434Passes294
Line-ups
Genoa
- 3Aarón Martín
- 29Lorenzo Colombo
- 32Morten Wetche Frendrup
- 11Albert Grønbæk
- 1Nicola Leali
- 8Nicolae Stanciu
- 22Johan Vasquez
- 23Valentín Carboni
- 15Brooke Norton-Cuffy
- 27Alessandro Marcandalli
- 73Patrizio Masini
Lecce
- 30Wladimiro Falcone
- 29Lassana Coulibaly
- 7Tete Morente
- 20Ylber Ramadani
- 19Lameck Banda
- 25Antonino Gallo
- 17Danilo Veiga
- 10Medon Berisha
- 4Kialonda Gaspar
- 22Francesco Camarda
- 44Tiago Gabriel
Tipster consensus
0 tracked tipstersNo tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.
Recent form
Genoa–
Lecce–| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Genoa | 35 | -9 | 38 |
| 2 | Lecce | 35 | -22 | 32 |
Head to head
- Lecce 1–2 Genoa2026-11-01
- Lecce 1–0 Genoa2026-05-24
Match preview
Genoa host Lecce in the Serie A on 23 August 2025. Genoa sit 16th on 38 points and Lecce are 17th on 32. In their last 2 meetings, Genoa won 1, Lecce won 1 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
