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FTMatchday 5

Genoa vs Lazio: Prediction

📍 Stadio Luigi Ferraris

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

3 goals
GenoaLazio
  1. Johan Vasquezyellow card1'
  2. 4'Matteo Cancellieriassist Taty Castellanos
  3. Brooke Norton-Cuffyyellow card16'
  4. 30'Taty Castellanosassist Adam Marusic
  5. 32'Adam Marusicon
  6. 35'Danilo Cataldiyellow card
  7. Patrizio Masiniyellow card51'
  8. Ruslan Malinovskyiyellow card62'
  9. 63'Mattia Zaccagni
  10. Patrizio Masinion68'
  11. Vítor Oliveiraon68'
  12. Lorenzo Colomboon69'
  13. Ruslan Malinovskyion69'
  14. 69'Luca Pellegrinion
  15. Aarón Martínon84'
  16. 84'Mario Gilaon
  17. 84'Taty Castellanoson
  18. 84'Toma Bašićon
  19. Leo Østigårdyellow card90'

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Match stats

GenoaLazio
  • 65%Possession35%
  • 2Expected goals (xG)1
  • 17Shots9
  • 5Shots on target6
  • 6Corners0
  • 18Fouls16
  • 5Yellow cards1
  • 0Red cards0
  • 1Offsides2
  • 2Saves5
  • 503Passes280

Line-ups

Genoa

  • 3Aarón Martín
  • 17Ruslan Malinovskyi
  • 29Lorenzo Colombo
  • 32Morten Wetche Frendrup
  • 5Leo Østigård
  • 1Nicola Leali
  • 22Johan Vasquez
  • 9Vítor Oliveira
  • 77Mikael Egill Ellertsson
  • 15Brooke Norton-Cuffy
  • 73Patrizio Masini

Lazio

  • 13Alessio Romagnoli
  • 10Mattia Zaccagni
  • 94Ivan Provedel
  • 77Adam Marusic
  • 32Danilo Cataldi
  • 3Luca Pellegrini
  • 26Toma Bašić
  • 19Boulaye Dia
  • 11Taty Castellanos
  • 22Matteo Cancellieri
  • 34Mario Gila

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1472 – 1593

Recent form

GenoaDDL
LazioLLL
#TeamPGDPts
1Lazio35-545
2Genoa35-938

Head to head

  • Lazio 3–2 Genoa2026-01-30

Match preview

Genoa host Lazio in the Serie A on 29 September 2025. Genoa sit 16th on 38 points and Lazio are 10th on 45. Genoa have won 0 of their last 3 (DDL), while Lazio have won 0 of 3 (LLL). In their last 1 meetings, Genoa won 0, Lazio won 1 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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