Genoa vs Fiorentina: Prediction
📍 Stadio Luigi Ferraris
Not enough past results yet.
Match events
4 goals- ⚽Leo Østigårdassist Aarón Martín15'
- 20'⚽Albert Guðmundssonpenalty
- 23'Marin Pongračićyellow card
- 42'Luca Ranieriyellow card
- 57'⚽Roberto Piccoliassist Simon Sohm
- ⚽Lorenzo Colomboassist Leo Østigård60'
- 66'⇄Luca Ranierion
- 66'⇄Niccolò Fortinion
- Aarón Martínyellow card67'
- ⇄Lorenzo Colomboon67'
- 74'⇄Simon Sohmon
- 75'⇄Albert Guðmundssonon
- ⇄Aarón Martínon76'
- ⇄Vítor Oliveiraon76'
- Mikael Egill Ellertssonyellow card84'
- 84'⇄Roberto Piccolion
- 89'Dodôyellow card
Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.
Match stats
- 41%Possession59%
- 2Expected goals (xG)2
- 10Shots7
- 6Shots on target3
- 3Corners7
- 20Fouls15
- 2Yellow cards3
- 0Red cards0
- 0Offsides0
- 1Saves4
- 281Passes421
Line-ups
Genoa
- 2Morten Thorsby
- 3Aarón Martín
- 29Lorenzo Colombo
- 32Morten Wetche Frendrup
- 5Leo Østigård
- 1Nicola Leali
- 22Johan Vasquez
- 9Vítor Oliveira
- 77Mikael Egill Ellertsson
- 15Brooke Norton-Cuffy
- 27Alessandro Marcandalli
Fiorentina
- 43David de Gea
- 8Rolando Mandragora
- 18Pablo Marí
- 91Roberto Piccoli
- 6Luca Ranieri
- 5Marin Pongračić
- 10Albert Guðmundsson
- 2Dodô
- 7Simon Sohm
- 14Hans Nicolussi Caviglia
- 29Niccolò Fortini
Tipster consensus
0 tracked tipstersNo tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.
Recent form
GenoaLDLLW
FiorentinaLLDLL| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Fiorentina | 35 | -8 | 40 |
| 2 | Genoa | 35 | -9 | 38 |
Head to head
- Genoa 2–1 Fiorentina2026-10-10
- Fiorentina 0–0 Genoa2026-05-10
Match preview
Genoa host Fiorentina in the Serie A on 9 November 2025. Genoa sit 16th on 38 points and Fiorentina are 15th on 40. Genoa have won 1 of their last 5 (LDLLW), while Fiorentina have won 0 of 5 (LLDLL). In their last 2 meetings, Genoa won 1, Fiorentina won 0 and 1 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
