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FTMatchday 20

Genoa vs Cagliari: Prediction

📍 Stadio Luigi Ferraris

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

3 goals
GenoaCagliari
  1. Lorenzo Colomboassist Ruslan Malinovskyi7'
  2. 15'Juan Rodríguezyellow card
  3. Morten Wetche Frendrupyellow card30'
  4. 42'Adam Obertyellow card
  5. Brooke Norton-Cuffyon46'
  6. 46'Juan Rodríguezon
  7. Patrizio Masiniyellow card52'
  8. 54'Luca Mazzitelliyellow card
  9. 58'Ndary Adopoyellow card
  10. 62'Zito Luvumboon
  11. 69'Luca Mazzitellion
  12. 69'Sebastiano Espositoon
  13. 71'Sebastiano Lupertoyellow card
  14. Ruslan Malinovskyion74'
  15. Lorenzo Colomboon74'
  16. Morten Wetche Frendrup75'
  17. Leo Østigårdassist Aarón Martín78'
  18. Vítor Oliveiraon81'
  19. Mikael Egill Ellertssonon81'

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Match stats

GenoaCagliari
  • 44%Possession56%
  • 1.02Expected goals (xG)1.26
  • 11Shots15
  • 7Shots on target3
  • 2Corners3
  • 17Fouls20
  • 2Yellow cards5
  • 0Red cards0
  • 1Offsides1
  • 3Saves4
  • 398Passes504

Line-ups

Genoa

  • 3Aarón Martín
  • 17Ruslan Malinovskyi
  • 29Lorenzo Colombo
  • 32Morten Wetche Frendrup
  • 5Leo Østigård
  • 1Nicola Leali
  • 22Johan Vasquez
  • 9Vítor Oliveira
  • 77Mikael Egill Ellertsson
  • 15Brooke Norton-Cuffy
  • 27Alessandro Marcandalli

Cagliari

  • 4Luca Mazzitelli
  • 94Sebastiano Esposito
  • 6Sebastiano Luperto
  • 77Zito Luvumbo
  • 33Adam Obert
  • 8Ndary Adopo
  • 1Elia Caprile
  • 16Matteo Prati
  • 9Semih Kılıçsoy
  • 15Juan Rodríguez
  • 2Marco Palestra

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1472 – 1467

Recent form

GenoaWLLDD
CagliariWDWLD
#TeamPGDPts
1Cagliari35-1043
2Genoa35-938

Head to head

  • Cagliari 3–3 Genoa2025-11-22

Match preview

Genoa host Cagliari in the Serie A on 12 January 2026. Genoa sit 16th on 38 points and Cagliari are 12th on 43. Genoa have won 1 of their last 5 (WLLDD), while Cagliari have won 2 of 5 (WDWLD). In their last 1 meetings, Genoa won 0, Cagliari won 0 and 1 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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