Skip
EnglishEN ▾
FTMatchday 16

Genoa vs Atalanta: Prediction

📍 Stadio Luigi Ferraris

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

1 goal
GenoaAtalanta
  1. Nicola Lealired card3'
  2. Aarón Martínon5'
  3. 57'Daniel Maldinion
  4. 60'Lazar Samardžićyellow card
  5. Ruslan Malinovskyion67'
  6. Caleb Ekubanon67'
  7. 69'Lorenzo Bernasconion
  8. 69'Davide Zappacostaon
  9. 79'Nicola Zalewskiyellow card
  10. 82'Édersonon
  11. 82'Sead Kolasinacon
  12. Vítor Oliveiraon83'
  13. Morten Thorsbyyellow card85'
  14. 90'Isak Hienassist Nicola Zalewski

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Match stats

GenoaAtalanta
  • 29%Possession71%
  • 1Expected goals (xG)2
  • 6Shots16
  • 3Shots on target4
  • 6Corners10
  • 11Fouls19
  • 1Yellow cards2
  • 1Red cards0
  • 1Offsides0
  • 3Saves3
  • 220Passes542

Line-ups

Genoa

  • 18Caleb Ekuban
  • 3Aarón Martín
  • 17Ruslan Malinovskyi
  • 32Morten Wetche Frendrup
  • 1Nicola Leali
  • 22Johan Vasquez
  • 9Vítor Oliveira
  • 77Mikael Egill Ellertsson
  • 15Brooke Norton-Cuffy
  • 27Alessandro Marcandalli
  • 34Sebastian Otoa

Atalanta

  • 77Davide Zappacosta
  • 15Marten de Roon
  • 23Sead Kolasinac
  • 17Charles De Ketelaere
  • 9Gianluca Scamacca
  • 70Daniel Maldini
  • 6Yunus Musah
  • 29Marco Carnesecchi
  • 4Isak Hien
  • 13Éderson
  • 47Lorenzo Bernasconi

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1472 – 1515

Recent form

GenoaWDDWW
AtalantaLLWWL
#TeamPGDPts
1Atalanta35+1454
2Genoa35-938

Head to head

  • Atalanta 0–0 Genoa2026-05-02

Match preview

Genoa host Atalanta in the Serie A on 21 December 2025. Genoa sit 16th on 38 points and Atalanta are 7th on 54. Genoa have won 3 of their last 5 (WDDWW), while Atalanta have won 2 of 5 (LLWWL). In their last 1 meetings, Genoa won 0, Atalanta won 0 and 1 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

Upcoming